Sunday, August 5, 2012

Libya..... Troubling Security Overtones

We saw the first attack using a improvised explosive device (IED) in Tripoli on Saturday ('car bomb').

Our team assess that it was a remote controlled IED (RCIED). This is a concerning development which demonstrates the porosity of the security forces but also a local capability to build explosive devices locally. The levels of sophistication are questionable (1 reported injury) but the capability versus intent balance is potentially troubling.

A continuance of these style of events, with high media payoffs, will discredit the political apparatus and also test local tolerances and confidence.

We continue to monitor carefully.

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